Final Workshop Prin 2022
The closing workshop for the Prin 2022 project "Methodological and Computational Challenges in Large-Scale Time Series Models for Economics and Finance" will take place at Villa Mondragone on September 11 and 12, 2025. Attendance is free, but registration is mandatory and limited to 50 participants.
Organizers: Gianluca Cubadda and Stefano Grassi
Program
September, 11 2025 - Day 1
8:55 – 9:00 Opening
9:00-10:15 Presentations of Sapienza University of Rome and Tor Vergata University of Rome Units
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- Massimo Franchi
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Inference on the Cointegration and the Attractor Spaces via Functional Approximation, with Paolo Paruolo
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- Francesco Giancaterini
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Sequential Monte Carlo for Noncausal Processes, with Gianluca Cubadda and Stefano Grassi
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- Gianluca Cubadda
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VAR Models with an Index Structure: A Survey with New Results
10:15 – 10:45 Coffee Break
10:45 – 11:30 Marco Lippi
Dynamic Factor Models and Some Special Matrices
11:30-12:45 Presentations of University of Salerno and Università Politecnica delle Marche Units
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- Pietro Coretto
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Regularized Covariance Estimation with Applications to Portfolio Optimization, with Giuseppe Storti
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- Giuseppe Storti
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Using Quantile Time Series and Historical Simulation to Forecast Financial Risk Multiple Steps Ahead, with Richard Gerlach and Antonio Naimoli
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- Marco Tedeschi
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Honey, We Shrunk the IRFs! Using 1-Norm Regularisation to Improve Inference in Structural VAR Models, with Riccardo Jack Lucchetti
12:45-13:55 Lunch
13:55-14:40 Sebastien Laurent
Penalized QMLE and Model Selection of Time Series Regressions, with Christian Francq and Julie Schnaitmann
14:40-15:30 Presentations of University of Messina
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- Luca Scaffidi Domianello
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Spillovers and Co-movements in Multivariate Volatility: A Vector Multiplicative Error Model with Edoardo Otranto
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- Menelaos Karanasos
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A Unified Theory for ARMA Models with Varying Coefficients: One Solution Fits All, with A. G. Paraskevopoulos, T. Magdalinos, and A. Canepa
15:30-16:15 Alain Hecq
Conditional Extreme Value Theory for Noncausal Processes: Application to Green Bubbles, with Francesco Giancaterini, Joann Jasiak and Aryan Manafi Neyazi
16:15-16:45 Coffee Break
16:45-17:30 Giampiero M. Gallo
Adding Some Spice to the Recipe: the VOLatility Archive for Realized Estimates (VOLARE)
17:30 Guided tour of Villa Mondragone
20:00-22:00 Dinner at Restaurant Cacciani (by invitation only)
September, 12 2025 - Day 2
9:00-9:45 James Duffy
Cointegration and Identification in Nonlinear Structural VARs, with Sophocles Mavroeidis
9:45-10:30 Jeroen Rombouts
Framework for Real-Time Modeling and Forecasting of Large Unbalanced Option Implied Volatility Surfaces, with Arnaud Dufays and Kris Jacobs
10:30- 11:00 Coffee Break
11:00-11:45 Arnaud Dufays
Modeling Higher Moments and Risk Premia for S&P 500 Returns, with Kris Jacobs and Jeroen Rombouts
11:45-13:25 Invited Session
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- Mirko Armillotta
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Copula Tensor Count Autoregressions, with Paolo Gorgi and André Lucas
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- Alessandro Casini
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Identification and Estimation of Causal Effects in High-Frequency Event Studies, with Adam McCloskey
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- Paolo Santucci de Magistris
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Co-Illiquidity Risk, with Angelo Ranaldo, Eduardo Rossi and Orimar Sauri
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- Antonio Naimoli
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Scaling the Tails: Intraday Quantiles for forecasting VaR and ES, with Ostap Okhrin and Giuseppe Storti
13:25-14:35 Lunch and Closing
REGISTRATION